Stormy Weather II

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  • LMcD
    Full Member
    • Sep 2017
    • 8638

    Originally posted by vinteuil View Post
    .



    ... yep, the BBC are currently offering a 36% chance of 'light showers' for west London for Wednesday afternoon. I wd prefer 100% chance of 'serious rain', perhaps ideally overnight...

    .
    For us, a 23% chance at most on Thursday.

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    • oddoneout
      Full Member
      • Nov 2015
      • 9272

      Originally posted by LMcD View Post
      For us, a 23% chance at most on Thursday.
      So that'll be staying dry then...

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      • LMcD
        Full Member
        • Sep 2017
        • 8638

        Originally posted by oddoneout View Post
        So that'll be staying dry then...
        I would say that was at least 90% probable!

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        • oddoneout
          Full Member
          • Nov 2015
          • 9272

          The Met Office's report for May rainfall shows that 'my' local reporting station recorded 0.4mm rain for the whole month - at that rate there's probably been more dust to measure!

          Comment

          • LMcD
            Full Member
            • Sep 2017
            • 8638

            According to our (very) local weather station, we've had 117.9 mm - that's just over 4.6" - rainfall so far this year. That's pretty dry even for these parts!

            Comment

            • gurnemanz
              Full Member
              • Nov 2010
              • 7405

              Strange rainfall patterns going on. We had 109mm in Feb in N Wilts ‐ about a third of the annual total so far. Almost nothing in May. Some rain is forecast overnight and tomorrow but not the deluge we need.

              Comment

              • DracoM
                Host
                • Mar 2007
                • 12986

                We had the tiniest, yes, tiniest sprinkle c 8.30 p.m.. Please, please tell me that that's not all we're going to get?

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                • oddoneout
                  Full Member
                  • Nov 2015
                  • 9272

                  The possibility of some afternoon rain for Wednesday has now disappeared from the forecast, having been there for a couple of days. Wouldn't surprise me if Thursday's current promise goes the same way.

                  Comment

                  • LMcD
                    Full Member
                    • Sep 2017
                    • 8638

                    Originally posted by oddoneout View Post
                    The possibility of some afternoon rain for Wednesday has now disappeared from the forecast, having been there for a couple of days. Wouldn't surprise me if Thursday's current promise goes the same way.
                    Excitingly, a 28% POP for 7 p.m. on Friday. The percentages for tomorrow have been reduced.

                    Comment

                    • oddoneout
                      Full Member
                      • Nov 2015
                      • 9272

                      Originally posted by LMcD View Post
                      Excitingly, a 28% POP for 7 p.m. on Friday. The percentages for tomorrow have been reduced.
                      Half a dozen big fat drops about 20 mins ago. I'd stuck my head put the door to check the temperature and thought I'd been 'got' by a bird, and assumed the sparse stray wet spots on the table were the remains of dew. It may take a while to recognise rain if it ever turns up...
                      The weather map is very blue and the forecast summary seems to suggest that rain might be on the cards again - I think it was thought yesterday that the wet mass would skim by to the west of the Anglian bump. Still think it probably won't happen over my patch, and will be light(to say the least) if it does, but it would be nice if the dust could be washed out of the air at least.
                      It will be interesting to see how June pans out as it is often a wet and sometimes chilly month here, leading to 'Flaming June' being said through gritted teeth...

                      Comment

                      • DracoM
                        Host
                        • Mar 2007
                        • 12986

                        Useful overnight rain and dampness in the air, BUT the really big factor is a big, bullying NE wind that has a chill edge to it.

                        Comment

                        • oddoneout
                          Full Member
                          • Nov 2015
                          • 9272

                          Originally posted by DracoM View Post
                          Useful overnight rain and dampness in the air, BUT the really big factor is a big, bullying NE wind that has a chill edge to it.
                          No overnight rain and the wind is fresh - but at least it's due north rather than with an easterly edge. Still cold but not as much bite as it might otherwise have. No sun, which adds to the cold feeling, and the temperature has dropped noticeable since midday. The cloudcover includes some useful looking grey patches but they are not delivering yet although the forecast suggests they may do so later. I'm in two minds whether to take a waterproof when I go out later. On the one hand we need the rain(and how!) so don't want to invoke the sod's law principle, on the other hand getting wet/soaked when it's this chilly wouldn't be fun.

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                          • Serial_Apologist
                            Full Member
                            • Dec 2010
                            • 37814

                            Originally posted by oddoneout View Post
                            No overnight rain and the wind is fresh - but at least it's due north rather than with an easterly edge. Still cold but not as much bite as it might otherwise have. No sun, which adds to the cold feeling, and the temperature has dropped noticeable since midday. The cloudcover includes some useful looking grey patches but they are not delivering yet although the forecast suggests they may do so later. I'm in two minds whether to take a waterproof when I go out later. On the one hand we need the rain(and how!) so don't want to invoke the sod's law principle, on the other hand getting wet/soaked when it's this chilly wouldn't be fun.
                            I've just returned from a 2-mile cycle ride over to W Norwood, and it was raining lightly - just enough to spot the ground and emit that wonderful rain-after-prolonged warmth scent we spoke of previously. With at least 3 layers of cloud, the top one of which being the most likely precipitation yielder, it is difficult to predict if this will produce enough to dampen the ground; but this is the sort of rain we need now, as it can percolate through the upper soil layer and get to plant roots more readily than would heavy rain, which has the tendency to run off, taking the soil with it.

                            Still a comfortable 19 C down here, despite absence of sun, though this will probably fall sharply once that strong northerly now over the Pennines reaches us.

                            Comment

                            • Serial_Apologist
                              Full Member
                              • Dec 2010
                              • 37814

                              Right now, the largest area of thunderstorms I have ever observed anywhere is in full strobing progress over a large part of western and central Europe. Blackpool promenade light show, Piccadilly Circus, Times Square, eat your hearts out!

                              See lightning strikes in real time across the planet. Free access to maps of former thunderstorms. By Blitzortung.org and contributors.


                              Comment

                              • DracoM
                                Host
                                • Mar 2007
                                • 12986

                                12C here and falling.

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