Originally posted by cloughie
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Stormy Weather II
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Sun and a cloudless blue sky. Felt pretty mild first thing, but getting chilly as the breeze has picked up. Somewhat slippy underfoot as the remnants of snow froze overnight and now have a slick of icemelt on top, but by being careful I've managed to get the washing out. Would probably be wise to avoid the pavements and shopping today as I suspect ice will linger, better to don wellies, take a stick, and squelch round the fields.
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Originally posted by Pulcinella View PostSunny here too, but not so warm: my phone says 3C, real feel 1C.
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Yesterday's 7 C mid-afternoon felt positively springlike following nearly 3 weeks of sub-average daytime temperatures here; and it looks headed for similar values today, making for a pleasant walk down to the surgery for the first of my Covid-19 vaccinations. Yesterday I wandered past the place: there were no queues, just one or two entering and exiting the premises as I passed by, a couple of hi-viz jacket-wearing "bouncers" out front, so hopefully all will be well. I have a quick microwaveable meal ready for my return, which will probably be around 1.30 pm, including the 15-minutes in the waiting room following the jab and the amble home.
The week's weather predicts a rapid breakdown on Tuesday as low pressure and associated fronts move in from the west to bring strong south-westerlies and copious rainfall amounts, particularly to the west and north west I'm afraid, but temperatures well in to the mild category for Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by re-location of the deep primary low to north of Scotland for the remainder of the week, with falling temperatures as winds veer around to the west and then north west, with the likelihood of a repeat of yesterday's weather pattern on Saturday.
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Wet all day and increasingly windy they reckon. When I first moved into this house the early winter had been very wet and springs appeared at the bottom of the gardens. While it was fascinating to see the water gushing up out of the ground, it wasn't so pleasant to watch the water level rise to meet the floor of my shed, especially as I had nowhere else to store things like the mower. That is still the case so this prolonged wetness bothers me. It is possible that the work done along this stretch of the heritage railway line may have improved drainage matters. That still leaves the worry of the planning permission for hundreds of house on the fields(currently covered with water as is part of the adjacent road) the other side of the line.
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There is general anxiety around the development of the weather situation this afternoon and tonight, including in the met community, with "rapid cyclogenesis" deepening a low approaching from the south-west and crossing northern England this evening, associated with a broad, heavy belt of rain along the associated waving frontal system turning to snow - uncertain as to how far east the snow will spread, though Pennines and N York Moors are right in line - and possible storm-force winds ahead of it as the cold front segment south of the intensifying low centre whiplashes SE across S Wales, the Midlands, E Anglia and the SE this evening to clear in the early hours tomorrow. Howling gales and torrential rain down here as the midnight hour approaches and passes will however be as nothing compared with what faces people in a large area of the N Midlands, especially around the Peak District, and E Anglia, in the form of floods, and possible heavy snowfall in the wake, just at a time when the rescue services are even more stretched than usual due to the pandemic.
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Tremendous amount of rain here overnight.
The so-called balancing lake in the estate (it takes some water to help alleviate the flow into the River Foss) is as high as I've seen it in my four years of living here.
Centre of York flooded, but nothing too extraordinary about that, as it's a pretty common occurrence, though the Ouse is predicted to be about 4.5 m above the normal summer level, so that's quite worrying.
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Interesting to see how the snow over the Manchester area fell with such intensity yesterday evening that it brought sub-zero temperatures right down to sea level, heavy rain changed to heavy snow, with moderate falls experienced over a wide area. As soon as the main precipitation zone moved away east, the temperature rose from Zero to 3 Celsius. A small if not insignificant episode in a truly awful situation for people living in the area, and in N Wales, of course.
Speaking of snow, there appears to be a slight chance of us getting some of it this coming Sunday. It will depend on how low temperatures fall overnight on Saturday. The poor old North deserves a break, having these last few years been repeatedly clobbered by weather events once held to occur only every 200 years. One just hopes that when the weather pattern that has brought the flooding resumes next week, any consequences in terms of overspilling rivers, should they occur, will be more equitably shared out, geographically.
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