Stormy Weather II

[oddoneout]

It isn't windy is about the only positive thing about today's weather - and yesterday's come to that. This grey damp murk isn't good for resilience needed to face the never-ending dross being heaped on us, only some of which is unavoidable.

[Serial_Apologist]

It isn't windy is about the only positive thing about today's weather - and yesterday's come to that. This grey damp murk isn't good for resilience needed to face the never-ending dross being heaped on us, only some of which is unavoidable.

Well then, I hope the sun has eventually shone for you, because here it turned out quite sunny this morning, and actually reached 60 degrees F, so I was able to take a very pleasant cycle ride over Streatham Common and practise a bit of Mindfulness, before, unfortunately, coinciding my round trip with primary schools pupil disgorgement time. Autumn is a very good time for meditation walks, in which, without inner commentary, one directs all the senses, auditory, visual, olfactory, to the immediate surrounds - treating the environment as a sort of Gesamtkunswerk of the senses. And today it certainly worked. Now, the rain is returning.

[oddoneout]

Well then, I hope the sun has eventually shone for you, because here it turned out quite sunny this morning, and actually reached 60 degrees F, so I was able to take a very pleasant cycle ride over Streatham Common and practise a bit of Mindfulness, before, unfortunately, coinciding my round trip with primary schools pupil disgorgement time. Autumn is a very good time for meditation walks, in which, without inner commentary, one directs all the senses, auditory, visual, olfactory, to the immediate surrounds - treating the environment as a sort of Gesamtkunswerk of the senses. And today it certainly worked. Now, the rain is returning.

Just before midday some blue sky appeared and the sun came out; I got rather warm walking back from town as a result. The brief window of opportunity was seized to get some heavy washing on the line for a flap, and do some potting and pottering in the garden.

[BBMmk2]

According to the BBC, it’s going to be light rain and gentle showers today .

[oddoneout]

Less likelihood of seeing sun than on last night's forecast, but so long as the rain mostly stays away I'll live with that. I'm at work today and getting around the various parts of the site when it's raining can be tiresome, not least now as the virus arrangements make dealing with wet coats difficult.

[Serial_Apologist]

The weather presenter admitted this morning that it is too difficult to predict what the weather will be doing on Friday and the weekend, only saying it would likely be unsettled and possibly a repeat of the one just gone. From what I can make out we're once again in switch mode, whereby developments occur in mid-Atlantic without historical references, or analysable input from what is going on on the other side of the Pond, or even in the north Pacific, which can usually be computer configured to determine speed and vigour of approaching systems, making for more predictable outcomes.

Usually in the past, predictability becomes more certain at this time of the year, and until the following spring, by virtue of greater consistency in the north Atlantic jet than is the case in summer, when the sweep of the jet is more subject to interruptions and inputs for accurate forecasting are more multi-factorial. My guess is that the greater variability now evident in the circulation is down to the same causation, namely ice cap meltwater altering the salinity and buoyancy and therefore the strength of the ocean currents - primarily the North Atlantic Drift/Gulf Stream - interacting with and sustaining the balance. It's going to put back accurate forecasting (beyond about 2 days) to where it was a couple of decades ago, prior to intricate computer modelling. This will take time to adjust and build into the systems, dependent as they still are on precedents, and lead to renewed accusations that weather forecasting is not doing a proper job.

[DracoM]

Yup - mix of big clouds, bright sun, everything grey and louring in NE and coming this way, so..............who knows what next? Temp OK for time of year - 9C

[Serial_Apologist]

Yup - mix of big clouds, bright sun, everything grey and louring in NE and coming this way, so..............who knows what next? Temp OK for time of year - 9C

I would think 9 C to be rather below your normal temperature for 1 pm this early in October, Draco, though I would have to check. Here it's struggling over 14 C - again, a couple of degrees below early October norms. Shower clouds now building - the view of Hampstead Heath misting out: I will probably get a bit wet on my bread and apples purchasing ride, shortly.

[LMcD]

Currently 16.3 degrees here. Early rain gave way to broken cloud and sunny intervals.

[HighlandDougie]

At the risk of breaking up the England-centricness of this thread, where I live in France (the Vésubie valley) experienced the worst storm in living memory on Friday/Saturday. 400mm+ of rain, hurricane force winds for about 6 hours and thunder 'n lightning like you've never seen. I'm still in shock about the devastation. The damage runs into hundreds of millions of euros. Anyway, if one of the resident experts can provide some wisdom on how mountains etc can make what was presumably a low pressure front from the west so much worse, I would be grateful.

[cloughie]

At the risk of breaking up the England-centricness of this thread, where I live in France (the Vésubie valley) experienced the worst storm in living memory on Friday/Saturday. 400mm+ of rain, hurricane force winds for about 6 hours and thunder 'n lightning like you've never seen. I'm still in shock about the devastation. The damage runs into hundreds of millions of euros. Anyway, if one of the resident experts can provide some wisdom on how mountains etc can make what was presumably a low pressure front from the west so much worse, I would be grateful.

Sorry to hear that HD - sounds bad - are you OK and have you suffered any personal damage and loss?

[Serial_Apologist]

Sorry to hear that HD - sounds bad - are you OK and have you suffered any personal damage and loss?

Any attempt at an explanation by me would seem puny against such an awful event.

[BBMmk2]

I think it’s not going to be too bad a day, today!

[Pulcinella]

Currently 16.3 degrees here. Early rain gave way to broken cloud and sunny intervals.

It was like that here yesterday too: 21.5C indoors (with no heating) and pleasantly warm outside, so I ventured out for a short bike ride.
Mistake!
Heavens opened and got drenched.

Today looks a brighter prospect.

[DracoM]

Sun, light breeze [W/NW], possibly showers coming in over NW fells later. c9C.