Stormy Weather II

[Serial_Apologist]

I must get out onto that lawn out there, to soak in some of that free Vitamin D, before it's too late...

Too late!!

[oddoneout]

I must get out onto that lawn out there, to soak in some of that free Vitamin D, before it's too late...

And by the way, Vitamin C is especially plentiful in supply this year, courtesy free from those otherwise pesky brambles all around. What will become of them when all the spare brownfield sites still going have been built upon?

Given developers' dislike of brownfield and the lack of any weapon to force them to use such sites I think the brambles are safe for the foreseeable future? They are also highly successful colonisers of odd pockets of neglected ground, courtesy of birds, so the likes of underused industrial estates and badly maintained landscape planting become alternatives.

[BBMmk2]

Great day today it's looking!

[Pulcinella]

Great day today it's looking!

Not here it ain't: raining as I type. I guess the garden needs it, though, so I shouldn't complain, but I need to go out at some point (could delay till over the weekend) to get new bike lights as someone stole them off my bike yesterday while I was at choir practice. Such an annoying petty crime, but at least they didn't take the bike too.

[DracoM]

Light frost here over night.

[oddoneout]

The forecast was completely wrong today - not just a little bit but completely not right. It was supposed to be dry all day, although somewhat overcast(but no suggestion of rain possibility) from midday on, but what we got was rain - quite a lot - off and on from midday to nearly 4. The temperatures were a bit more accurate, so at least I was prepared for the drop when the sun departed.

[BBMmk2]

Do forecasters actually know?

The season is certainly changing. Might be having the separate heater on soon, if it gets much colder?

[Serial_Apologist]

Do forecasters actually know?

The season is certainly changing. Might be having the separate heater on soon, if it gets much colder?

It's going to stay much the same for the next week, from what I can make out. I think the forecasters usually get things right more often these days than a decade ago, say. The difficuties remaining for them are threefold, basically, 1) whenever the jet stream slows right down/drops out/reverses, because the jet stream conditions how fast the weather systems are coming at us, how intense they are going to be, and coming from what direction; 2) hurricane emergence and development reaches its maximum at this time of the year; hurricanes are the "mavericks" of the global weather circulation because they more-or-less decide which direction they are going to take and when, not being subject to upper steering winds unlike "our" lows when in circulation; and if sea temperatures are warmer than average (due for instance to an El Nino occurring) they will get a re-boost on joining the north Atlantic jet stream, arriving off our shores as deeper ex-hurricane temperate lows than would otherwise be the case; and 3) predicting precisely where showers/thunderstorms will form and track, and how intense and long-lasting they will be, though they are getting better at this. Relating to showers the precise triggering mechanism for tornadoes is still wanting, though this affects the States more than it does us.

[subcontrabass]

The names for the next season of storms have been announced: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/barometer/uk-storm-centre

[Pulcinella]

The names for the next season of storms have been announced: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/barometer/uk-storm-centre

S and to a lesser extent N might be ones for Pronunciation watch if we ever get that far through the alphabet; I for one have no idea how to pronounce Saoirse!

[BBMmk2]

Quite a lot of rain during the night, it seems but quite fresh this morning!

[Serial_Apologist]

Quite a lot of rain during the night, it seems but quite fresh this morning!

Temperatures here are about 10 degrees Celsius lower than they were yesterday. Another drop on that scale would make it nearly cold enough for snow! It should now start warming up again, but not much until the weekend; then it's expected to warm up considerably midway through next week, as warm air associated with this terrible hurricane bearing down on the south-eastern US seaboard comes flooding up this way. And don't worry, there's no hurricane coming in this direction - (as Mike Fish said to the nation in October 1987! ).

[BBMmk2]

Temperatures here are about 10 degrees Celsius lower than they were yesterday. Another drop on that scale would make it nearly cold enough for snow! It should now start warming up again, but not much until the weekend; then it's expected to warm up considerably midway through next week, as warm air associated with this terrible hurricane bearing down on the south-eastern US seaboard comes flooding up this way. And don't worry, there's no hurricane coming in this direction - (as Mike Fish said to the nation in October 1987! ).

Certainly looks as though it could be SA! I hope it’s going to be ok for weekend of next week when we go to the Duxford Air Show!

[Serial_Apologist]

Certainly looks as though it could be SA! I hope it’s going to be ok for weekend of next week when we go to the Duxford Air Show!

I should cancel, or postpone that air show this coming weekend, Bbm, given that it looks likely to be cancelled or postponed anyway, as we're in for possibly severe gales practically everywhere on Sunday - as if that were not enough - with hurricane-force winds today over N Ieland and the central Scottish lowlands, and another dose tomorrow for the same areas, with heavy continuous rain expected over the bulk of Wales, just to ramp worries up.

This all looks likely to die down next Monday, with a big Atlantic high pressure system rolling in from the west, to give coolish days (compared to what we've got used to!) and cold nights, probably lasting for the remainder of the month.

[oddoneout]

Today has been much windier than the two previous days that had the weather warnings...I see that now further warnings have been issued for the next few days and I'm just hoping I don't have further problems with ridge tiles coming adrift.