At 16.23 the BBC are reporting the Russians have been 'forced out' of Lyman. One can't help feeling that Putin's recent escalation of the situation will renew Ukrainian resolve on the ground - but do less for the Russian troops.
Ukraine
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For those on Facbook: https://scontent-lhr8-1.xx.fbcdn.net...4A&oe=633E3E06
Shared by pianist and, IIRC, erstwhile contributor here, Jonathan Powell, with the message "The soldier on the right is the conductor Nazar Yatskiv, who directed our performance of Rachmaninoff's third concerto about 9 years ago in Ivano Frankivsk. Slava Ukraini!". The original posting of the photograph by Nazar Yatskiv read: " Міжнародним Днем Музики!" (Happy International Day of Music!)
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Originally posted by french frank View PostAt 16.23 the BBC are reporting the Russians have been 'forced out' of Lyman. One can't help feeling that Putin's recent escalation of the situation will renew Ukrainian resolve on the ground - but do less for the Russian troops.
The fall of Lyman also raises the possibility of Ukraine being able to bypass defences around Lysychansk and Severodonetsk and start pushing into Donetsk oblast. Both these operations may be limited by the autumn rains/mud which, however, are not as difficult as the mud in spring apparently.
Either way, it's another disaster for Putin. The 'partial mobilisation' is unlikely to stop, although it may slow, Ukraine's advance.
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Originally posted by Historian View PostEither way, it's another disaster for Putin. The 'partial mobilisation' is unlikely to stop, although it may slow, Ukraine's advance.It isn't given us to know those rare moments when people are wide open and the lightest touch can wither or heal. A moment too late and we can never reach them any more in this world.
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Originally posted by Historian View PostMany (most?) were bussed in apparently.It isn't given us to know those rare moments when people are wide open and the lightest touch can wither or heal. A moment too late and we can never reach them any more in this world.
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As well as continued Ukrainian success in the north-east, with Kreminna in danger of encirclement, there are also reports of an advance on the Kherson front. The fighting here, against one of the stronger and more capable fronts of the Russian armed forces, has been bitter with heavy losses on both sides. In the north part of the sector (West of the Dnipro river) Ukraine has taken back Zolota Balka. There are also rumours of greater success but so far without confirmation. Still good news, potentially showing the breakdown of the Russian position there.
EDIT: There is also news of Ukraine breaking out eastwards from their Kupyansk bridgehead (in the north east) and heading towards the communications hub of Svatove.
[Apologies to anyone whose knowledge of Ukrainian geography is such that a map would help decipher my posts. I don't line appending large images and a small one would not help.]Last edited by Historian; 02-10-22, 18:54.
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there was an interesting comment in Saturday's episode of Crossing Continents re the Russians moving to Georgia to avoid the draft - the reporter asked some if they had previously demonstrated against the war - it seems that for many it was only when they were in danger of being forced to fight that they gave any consideration to the war - very little consideration given, it appears, for the Ukrainians apart from one who stated he had always voted against Putin and had sent some money to relief societies.
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Originally posted by Historian View PostAs well as continued Ukrainian success in the north-east, with Kreminna in danger of encirclement, there are also reports of an advance on the Kherson front. The fighting here, against one of the stronger and more capable fronts of the Russian armed forces, has been bitter with heavy losses on both sides. In the north part of the sector (West of the Dnipro river) Ukraine has taken back Zolota Balka. There are also rumours of greater success but so far without confirmation. Still good news, potentially showing the breakdown of the Russian position there.
EDIT: There is also news of Ukraine breaking out eastwards from their Kupyansk bridgehead (in the north east) and heading towards the communications hub of Svatove.
[Apologies to anyone whose knowledge of Ukrainian geography is such that a map would help decipher my posts. I don't line appending large images and a small one would not help.]
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Originally posted by Historian View PostThank you Bryn: will bear that in mind and see if I can find a suitable map or maps to link to.
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This interactive map gives a good overview of who is in control of different parts of the country and where the fighting is occurring. It is produced by someone who is not subject expert (a baseball statistician) but it has proven to be reasonably accurate. It is updated several times a day when the situation is dynamic. Names are both Roman and Cyrillic and it's searchable which makes it easy to follow-up on a news report for example.
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