Coronavirus

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  • Roslynmuse
    Full Member
    • Jun 2011
    • 1237

    Can anyone answer this? We're told that the new variant is transmitting more easily. But what does that mean for our behaviour? Does this mutation get through our masks more readily? Do we need to be physically distanced even further than with the 'old' Covid? Is it surviving on surfaces longer? Is it attacking people who had greater resilience against the old virus? Everything else being equal, the huge increase in cases - even leaving aside the socialising that has gone on in the run-up to Christmas - suggests that our behaviour needs to change again, with even greater awareness of social distancing and hygiene, but s far as I am aware we haven't been given any specific information about this.

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    • Frances_iom
      Full Member
      • Mar 2007
      • 2411

      Originally posted by Roslynmuse View Post
      Can anyone answer this? We're told that the new variant is transmitting more easily. But what does that mean for our behaviour? ...
      My take is that the new variant can more readily latch onto a cell to which it then transmits a payload - thus I assume a lower amount of virus needs to be passed to create the same effect as the original covid - in practice I suspect this still requires the parties to be within fairly close proximity and whereas with the original covid the probability of success was low the new variant is more successful thus many encounters that in past, possibly due to short time of encounters, which would not see transmission now do see this - masks if correctly worn + of the right type will still reduce transmission but it seems to me that physical separation is probably the key but this is seldom possible in a domestic environment - and if the variant can better infect children then these now become major vectors within a household thus between generations.

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      • Anastasius
        Full Member
        • Mar 2015
        • 1842

        Originally posted by Roslynmuse View Post
        Can anyone answer this? We're told that the new variant is transmitting more easily. But what does that mean for our behaviour? Does this mutation get through our masks more readily? Do we need to be physically distanced even further than with the 'old' Covid? Is it surviving on surfaces longer? Is it attacking people who had greater resilience against the old virus? Everything else being equal, the huge increase in cases - even leaving aside the socialising that has gone on in the run-up to Christmas - suggests that our behaviour needs to change again, with even greater awareness of social distancing and hygiene, but s far as I am aware we haven't been given any specific information about this.
        I seem to recall reading an article that was suggesting that the surge was down more to people's behaviour and lack of mask wearing/social distancing as much as to the new variant.

        MY wife, an avid World Service listener, reports that there have been some studies suggesting that the aerosol infected 'bits' in the air can travel much, much further than 2m. I think there is some merit to this since one can easily smell cigarette smoke sometimes from a smoker some diustance away.
        Fewer Smart things. More smart people.

        Comment

        • Dave2002
          Full Member
          • Dec 2010
          • 18009

          Do we now have to deal with mink as well? https://www.theatlantic.com/health/a...ndemic/617476/

          Unfortunately re mink Covid-19 appears to be zoonotic - and probably reverse zoonotic also.

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          • oddoneout
            Full Member
            • Nov 2015
            • 9150

            Originally posted by Dave2002 View Post
            Do we now have to deal with mink as well? https://www.theatlantic.com/health/a...ndemic/617476/

            Unfortunately re mink Covid-19 appears to be zoonotic - and probably reverse zoonotic also.
            The mink saga in Denmark has been gruesome and worrying with buried bodies surfacing... Whatever the concerns about transmission cannot be helped by not even getting the ' infection reservoirs' properly contained.

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            • Frances_iom
              Full Member
              • Mar 2007
              • 2411

              Originally posted by Anastasius View Post
              ...MY wife, an avid World Service listener, reports that there have been some studies suggesting that the aerosol infected 'bits' in the air can travel much, much further than 2m. ...
              There is a detailed report on several cases by the Singapore Authorities (sorry can't find my ref) of which one example was infection in a restaurant, a basement room thus no windows but the ventilation was a fan extractor and it appeared that the infection was carried in the air movement from a distant infected customer to one near the wall mounted extraction fan.

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              • Dave2002
                Full Member
                • Dec 2010
                • 18009

                Originally posted by oddoneout View Post
                The mink saga in Denmark has been gruesome and worrying with buried bodies surfacing... Whatever the concerns about transmission cannot be helped by not even getting the ' infection reservoirs' properly contained.
                Yes, but if it has spread to other continents, and also out into the wild population, which the article indicates, then the problem is going to be much harder to get on top of.
                The chances of proper containment seem very low to me.

                Comment

                • oddoneout
                  Full Member
                  • Nov 2015
                  • 9150

                  Originally posted by Dave2002 View Post
                  Yes, but if it has spread to other continents, and also out into the wild population, which the article indicates, then the problem is going to be much harder to get on top of.
                  The chances of proper containment seem very low to me.
                  Indeed. I just felt it was unfortunate(to say the least) that added to all the transmission and other uncertainties, and overheated press attention, there was the added health concern of inadequately buried culled animals - to say nothing of the general yuk factor of semi-decomposed bodies surfacing. I tend to assume that a country like Denmark will do a better job than a re-run of the UK Foot and Mouth ineptitude.

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                  • Cockney Sparrow
                    Full Member
                    • Jan 2014
                    • 2284

                    I'm sure the WHO authority are saying Covid 19 is most likely to become endemic, in the same way the Flu virus is endemic. Remains to be seen if that will mean annual vaccines in relation to changes and where the line is drawn in protecting the vulnerable.

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                    • LHC
                      Full Member
                      • Jan 2011
                      • 1556

                      Originally posted by Cockney Sparrow View Post
                      I'm sure the WHO authority are saying Covid 19 is most likely to become endemic, in the same way the Flu virus is endemic. Remains to be seen if that will mean annual vaccines in relation to changes and where the line is drawn in protecting the vulnerable.
                      It is possible that, as the virus mutates over time, it will become more infectious, but less deadly. This is generally the case, as the most successful viruses don't tend to kill their host (in part because ultimately this reduces transmission). As with seasonal flu, we can hope that in time vaccinations may help to control both its spread, and the impact of the disease on the infected.
                      "I do not approve of anything that tampers with natural ignorance. Ignorance is like a delicate exotic fruit; touch it and the bloom is gone. The whole theory of modern education is radically unsound. Fortunately in England, at any rate, education produces no effect whatsoever. If it did, it would prove a serious danger to the upper classes, and probably lead to acts of violence in Grosvenor Square."
                      Lady Bracknell The importance of Being Earnest

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                      • Dave2002
                        Full Member
                        • Dec 2010
                        • 18009

                        Cases in our relatively Covid free area have tripled in the last few days. Irrespective of Brexit or other factors, we are taking executive action and now avoiding shops once again for the foreseeable future.

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                        • teamsaint
                          Full Member
                          • Nov 2010
                          • 25200

                          Originally posted by Dave2002 View Post
                          Cases in our relatively Covid free area have tripled in the last few days. Irrespective of Brexit or other factors, we are taking executive action and now avoiding shops once again for the foreseeable future.
                          Does anybody have info on where ( which settings ) infections are taking place ?
                          I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed or numbered. My life is my own.

                          I am not a number, I am a free man.

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                          • Anastasius
                            Full Member
                            • Mar 2015
                            • 1842

                            Originally posted by teamsaint View Post
                            Does anybody have info on where ( which settings ) infections are taking place ?
                            Who knows, TS? To the K-Doze, it's all over. Vaccinations...yeah...mine's a pint. Oh...they said and drank that before the vaccinations. Seriously, it is down to 'us'....or in most cases 'them'.
                            Fewer Smart things. More smart people.

                            Comment

                            • teamsaint
                              Full Member
                              • Nov 2010
                              • 25200

                              Originally posted by Anastasius View Post
                              Who knows, TS? To the K-Doze, it's all over. Vaccinations...yeah...mine's a pint. Oh...they said and drank that before the vaccinations. Seriously, it is down to 'us'....or in most cases 'them'.
                              If your OH works in a school, esp in a classroom setting, as mine does, it is a relevant question.
                              Wide open to it.......
                              I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed or numbered. My life is my own.

                              I am not a number, I am a free man.

                              Comment

                              • Dave2002
                                Full Member
                                • Dec 2010
                                • 18009

                                Originally posted by teamsaint View Post
                                If your OH works in a school, esp in a classroom setting, as mine does, it is a relevant question.
                                Wide open to it.......
                                Actually we looked at the data available to us and reporting a bit further. There is almost certainly a surge in cases, but allowing for days when there were no reported cases we figure that rather than a tripling of cases it may really be a doubling, though that is still rather significant. We will monitor things closely and avoid close contact with others, and I will probably be more cautious than in recent months about going into shops.

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