Originally posted by Cockney Sparrow
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Coronavirus
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Originally posted by Cockney Sparrow View PostRadio 4 news item yesterday. The Royal Mint will be producing plastic face shields, but they need to source clear plastic stock. The design is approved for use.
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Since my post #951 reporting the apparently very high numbers of cases in Hampshire and giving a measure for the number of reported cases per million population, I've been monitoring the daily growth of cases in the southern counties and cities there listed. (This has been just on straight number of new cases, not cases per head.) I've then worked out the % increase for each day-on-day in the hope of spotting, oh joy, when curves start to flatten.
With only 4 days' figures so far monitored I won't rush to any conclusions but one figure absolutely leapt out today: Surrey had a 91% increase (Fri 142, Sat 271) For comparison, the next highest were E Sussex 50% and Kent 45%, with most of the others between 10 and 25% and the lowest, Somerset, at 9%.
Perhaps it's my fault for saying in #951 that Surrey's figures seemed surprisingly low against Hampshire'sI keep hitting the Escape key, but I'm still here!
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Todays figures for the UK don't look too brilliant.
Cases: 17,089 cumulative, an increase of 2,546 (18%) for the day
Tested: 120,776 cumulative, an increase of 6,999 for the day
Deaths: 1,019 cumulative, an increase of 260 (34%) for the day
The rate of increase in the number of deaths is worrying as that is the only hard data we have.
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May I recommend consulting https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...0b19484dd4bb14 regarding how one might assess an approximation of the exposure level in one's local. I would suggest that those in the high levels in the table might show especial vigilance in observing national medical advice. Not that those living in locations currently in the lower region of the table should not pay attention. We all need to. I was incensed, yesterday, to encounter a group of four adults (two pairs) in conversation just inside a wicket gate entrance to the local woodland park. Anyone wanting to enter the park through that gate had to pass within 2 metres of this group. I am ashamed to admit that, at first I just sought to avoid that entrance but it turned out the next nearest was closed, due to a burst water main. On returning to the wicket gate I made my ennui clear but did not address the group directly. I should have.
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Originally posted by Bryn View PostMay I recommend consulting https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...0b19484dd4bb14 regarding how one might assess an approximation of the exposure level in one's local. I would suggest that those in the high levels in the table might show especial vigilance in observing national medical advice. Not that those living in locations currently in the lower region of the table should not pay attention. We all need to. I was incensed, yesterday, to encounter a group of four adults (two pairs) in conversation just inside a wicket gate entrance to the local woodland park. Anyone wanting to enter the park through that gate had to pass within 2 metres of this group. I am ashamed to admit that, at first I just sought to avoid that entrance but it turned out the next nearest was closed, due to a burst water main. On returning to the wicket gate I made my ennui clear but did not address the group directly. I should have.
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....my usual walk up the lane by the school, a distance of 100yds....is now a Coronovirus Main Highway....whereas I would usually meet on average 2-3 people, today I was trapped halfway up with 4 Families - 4 couples and the odd loner = about 20 people out taking air....Which makes me now feel fine about driving 2 miles to a deserted place I know.....bong ching
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Originally posted by Serial_Apologist View PostI'm assuming the two metre gap thing is to try to ensure one is at a safe distance should the nearby person cough or sneeze, that being one of the main transmission means between people in close proximity. My solution in being force to pass people within the safe 2 metres due to narrow width of path or passage is to hold my breath while passing them. Naive or not, I don't know.
When all this is over there needs to be a reckoning with those who have allowed the NHS to be so woefully unprepared at this time. Should one or two end up like Mussolini in the Piazzale Loreto in 1945 I wouldn't be shedding many tears."The sound is the handwriting of the conductor" - Bernard Haitink
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Originally posted by Petrushka View PostThat's my solution too in the same circumstances. However, it's a real problem when people come at you from round a corner or, alternatively, couldn't care less.
When all this is over there needs to be a reckoning with those who have allowed the NHS to be so woefully unprepared at this time. Should one or two end up like Mussolini in the Piazzale Loreto in 1945 I wouldn't be shedding many tears.bong ching
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Originally posted by Bryn View PostMay I recommend consulting https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...0b19484dd4bb14 regarding how one might assess an approximation of the exposure level in one's local. I would suggest that those in the high levels in the table might show especial vigilance in observing national medical advice. Not that those living in locations currently in the lower region of the table should not pay attention. We all need to.
FWIW it's that site that gives me the stats I've been crunching, there and in #1065.I keep hitting the Escape key, but I'm still here!
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