Coronavirus

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  • johnb
    Full Member
    • Mar 2007
    • 2903

    Some figures in today's weekly ONS report for England and Wales caught my attention.

    These figures are for w/e 12th June but the figures for the previous week are not dissimilar:

    Deaths at home (not care homes):
    Total excess deaths
    923
    Covid-19 registered deaths
    51
    Non-Covid excess deaths
    872
    Deaths in hospital:
    Total excess deaths
    -503
    Covid-19 registered deaths
    665
    Non-Covid excess deaths
    -1,168
    The excess deaths are the difference between the week's deaths and the average of the previous 5 years.

    "Non-Covid excess deaths" is my calculation: <Total excess deaths> minus <Covid-19 deaths>

    !!!!

    Comment

    • Simon B
      Full Member
      • Dec 2010
      • 782

      Originally posted by johnb View Post
      Some figures in today's weekly ONS report for England and Wales caught my attention.

      ...

      The excess deaths are the difference between the week's deaths and the average of the previous 5 years.

      "Non-Covid excess deaths" is my calculation: <Total excess deaths> minus <Covid-19 deaths>

      !!!!
      This is obviously striking. It could well be that people are still very reluctant to go to hospital, even when, on a rational calculus of risk, they should. Though I suppose if the +ve home non-Covid excess is balanced out by the -ve hospital non-Covid excess then logic dictates that going to hospital would have done no good anyway.

      Meanwhile, some of the "missing" non-Covid excess deaths in hospitals are probably and sadly accounted for by the "already dead prematurely from Covid". Total excess deaths for London have fallen statistically significantly below trend in recent weeks according to the ONS data IIRC.

      Comment

      • oddoneout
        Full Member
        • Nov 2015
        • 9282

        Originally posted by johnb View Post
        Today is the last Downing Street briefing.

        The datasets for the meetings are the only source that I have found for the Covid-19 hospital admission stats and the Covid-19 hospital bed stats.

        I think it is a great pity that the hospital admission data will no longer be available as it provides one of the few reliable early warnings of any resurgence of the virus.


        Well that'll be why then...Can't have the public knowing what's actually going on, they might make nuisances of themselves asking questions.

        Comment

        • Simon B
          Full Member
          • Dec 2010
          • 782

          Meanwhile, on a somewhat lighter note... Herewith the results of some empirical studies into the risks of brass playing w.r.t. air expelled by the musician. Most easily digested by German speakers, but anyone will get the idea.

          Comment

          • Dave2002
            Full Member
            • Dec 2010
            • 18035

            Originally posted by oddoneout View Post
            [/B]
            Well that'll be why then...Can't have the public knowing what's actually going on, they might make nuisances of themselves asking questions.
            Why would that be a problem? This lot don't ever answer anyway, well hardly ever, and they manipulate things so they don't get asked questions they don't want to answer. If in doubt, lie, and pretend ignorance later, or maybe start with ignorance so as to avoid having to lie.

            I am curious about the data re ventilator beds. The bed numbers seem to be going down slowly, but is there throughput? In other words, is there a flow through those beds, either with a good or a negative outcome, or do some people just stay in those beds for a very long time. If there's a significant flow, then obviously there is still a daily influx of really rather ill patients.

            Comment

            • MrGongGong
              Full Member
              • Nov 2010
              • 18357

              Originally posted by oddoneout View Post
              [/B]
              Well that'll be why then...Can't have the public knowing what's actually going on, they might make nuisances of themselves asking questions.
              They never answer the questions anyway
              About time we stopped this bullshit am-dram theatre nonsense

              Comment

              • Serial_Apologist
                Full Member
                • Dec 2010
                • 37823

                Originally posted by Simon B View Post
                Meanwhile, on a somewhat lighter note... Herewith the results of some empirical studies into the risks of brass playing w.r.t. air expelled by the musician. Most easily digested by German speakers, but anyone will get the idea.

                Very useful, since government representatives are always blowing their own trumpets.

                Comment

                • LMcD
                  Full Member
                  • Sep 2017
                  • 8644

                  Originally posted by MrGongGong View Post
                  What's the problem ?

                  We have a government who ignore all the advice , leading by example .....

                  (that's not a "Rave" though )
                  There has been much justified criticism of the government's handling of the coronavirus crisis. Just for fun, could we compile a list of names of people who would have done that much better? I'll start the ball rolling by suggesting Rebecca Long-Bailey as Home Secretary, Diane Abbott as Chancellor of the Exchequer, Dr Phil Hammond as Health Secretary, and Chris Grayling as Transport Secretary, a post which he should never have vacated given his encyclopaedic knowledge of Burt Bacharach songs, particularly 'Trains and Boat and Planes' and 'Close To You' (well, not TOO close!
                  Last edited by LMcD; 25-06-20, 16:45.

                  Comment

                  • Andrew
                    Full Member
                    • Jan 2020
                    • 148

                    Originally posted by LMcD View Post
                    There has been much justified criticism of the government's handling of the coronavirus crisis. Just for fun, could we compile a list of names of people who would have done that much better? I'll start the ball rolling by suggesting Rebecca Long-Bailey as Home Secretary and Dr Phil Hammond as Health Secretary.
                    IRONY SWITCH [ON] Excellent choice of individuals, who I am certain, would always accept the wish of the majority to decide their fate & never act against their wishes. I'm also sure that at least one of them is not an anti-semite and would never propagate anti-semitic comments, no matter what provocations.... IRONY SWITCH [OFF]
                    Major Denis Bloodnok, Indian Army (RTD) Coward and Bar, currently residing in Barnet, Hertfordshire!

                    Comment

                    • Joseph K
                      Banned
                      • Oct 2017
                      • 7765

                      Originally posted by Andrew View Post
                      IRONY SWITCH [ON] Excellent choice of individuals, who I am certain, would always accept the wish of the majority to decide their fate & never act against their wishes. I'm also sure that at least one of them is not an anti-semite and would never propagate anti-semitic comments, no matter what provocations.... IRONY SWITCH [OFF]
                      What antisemitic comments would these be then?

                      Comment

                      • Bryn
                        Banned
                        • Mar 2007
                        • 24688

                        Originally posted by Joseph K View Post
                        What antisemitic comments would these be then?
                        Oh, I would guess anything that isn't wholeheartedly Zionist, (as Starmer claims to be). I wonder if Long-Bailey will sue Starmer for slander. I'm no great fan of her's but reckon she should, as should Maxine Peake and, perhaps, The independent.

                        Comment

                        • LMcD
                          Full Member
                          • Sep 2017
                          • 8644

                          Originally posted by Andrew View Post
                          IRONY SWITCH [ON] Excellent choice of individuals, who I am certain, would always accept the wish of the majority to decide their fate & never act against their wishes. I'm also sure that at least one of them is not an anti-semite and would never propagate anti-semitic comments, no matter what provocations.... IRONY SWITCH [OFF]
                          I would love to see a Downing Street briefing with Colonel Bloodnok ('It's Hell Up Here') flanked by Eccles (Minister for Lancashire and Cakes) and Bluebottle (Minister for Distribution of Sweets)

                          Comment

                          • teamsaint
                            Full Member
                            • Nov 2010
                            • 25226

                            Originally posted by Bryn View Post
                            Oh, I would guess anything that isn't wholeheartedly Zionist, (as Starmer claims to be).
                            I mean, just how f***ing ( ) difficult is it to differentiate between comments about the malign actions of a nation state, and actual , real anti semitism.

                            Ask Andy Partridge.....

                            Lord, the student politics of the early 80s seem very far away......
                            I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed or numbered. My life is my own.

                            I am not a number, I am a free man.

                            Comment

                            • Joseph K
                              Banned
                              • Oct 2017
                              • 7765

                              Originally posted by Bryn View Post
                              Oh, I would guess anything that isn't wholeheartedly Zionist, (as Starmer claims to be).


                              Criticising the Isreali army is antisemitic - can someone please explain why?

                              Comment

                              • Bryn
                                Banned
                                • Mar 2007
                                • 24688

                                Originally posted by Joseph K View Post


                                Criticising the Isreali army is antisemitic - can someone please explain why?
                                I note that while the Israeli Police have issued a statement that they do not use the knee on neck technique, it was not the Israeli Police who were cited as influencing American Police. It was the Israeli Secret Service. Whether the claim re seminars was accurate has not as yet been addressed, as far as I have seen. I do not know whether it was true or not, and I suspect neither does Starmer.

                                Comment

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