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  • Frances_iom
    Full Member
    • Mar 2007
    • 2416

    Originally posted by DracoM View Post
    Living in the NW is wonderful, UNTIL you read stats and realise that 8 of the top 10 most disease affected areas are in Cumbria, Yorks, and NE...............why???
    I am baffled.
    why baffled? - NE moved from stable working class jobs to low status, low paid + low security 'call centre' type jobs within less than 20 years - Cumbria includes the now virtually post-industrialisation Barrow, Workington etc which went thru a similar change (tho it also has the high paid jobs around Sellafield - Yorkshire includes Thatcher's pet dislike of the independent social republic of South Yorks aka Sheffield which took many years to recover

    Comment

    • DracoM
      Host
      • Mar 2007
      • 12989

      Of course................naive that I am.

      Comment

      • MrGongGong
        Full Member
        • Nov 2010
        • 18357



        I can't find a non FB version of this
        but for those who do have FB


        Last edited by MrGongGong; 14-05-20, 13:44.

        Comment

        • Cockney Sparrow
          Full Member
          • Jan 2014
          • 2291

          I've only got time (at the moment) to scan that article, which seems to be very salient and provide a shocking contrast (whatever the inability to compare statistics between countries). 2 things about it come to me immediately - the key element that questioning and prompt, intelligent and applied leadership was present. Secondly that it wasn't necessary to set up contracts (untendered for or otherwise) to private sector "mates" (unlikely I know, as the minister is a member of the communist party) to take the necessary action. (G4S, Serco, Deloittes....).

          The article deserves a closer read this evening. Thanks.

          Comment

          • Count Boso

            The Kerala example is interesting in that compliance to restrictions is linked to high literacy and good education. In America, I saw a reference today as to which states are most affected by the protest marches - Republican with low educational levels.

            Comment

            • johnb
              Full Member
              • Mar 2007
              • 2903

              One of the few sets of statistics that is both informative and reasonably reliable is the NHS England Hospital Deaths by Date of Death.

              There was a steady decline until 2nd May but it then flattened out, at least until 7th May. The figures after 7th May will be subject to considerably upwards revision so can't really be taken into consideration.

              The chart does show a very slight decline between 2th and 7th May (avg of ~3 per day) but that might well disappear with the coming daily revisions.

              This plateau effect only seems to show up in this specific data, but then it is arguably the most useful and reliable data we have.

              Should we be concerned? I'm not sure




              Notes:

              The cumulative data is revised each day as the day's newly reported deaths are distributed back over the days in which the deaths actually occurred.

              Of the daily reported deaths very roughly 85% tend to have occurred over the previous 5 days with the other 15% spread over the preceding two or three weeks.

              Source data: https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistic...-daily-deaths/
              Last edited by johnb; 14-05-20, 14:37.

              Comment

              • Pulcinella
                Host
                • Feb 2014
                • 11063

                Owen Jones in today's Guardian as astute as ever (imho, of course):

                Comment

                • johnb
                  Full Member
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 2903

                  Originally posted by Pulcinella View Post
                  Owen Jones in today's Guardian as astute as ever (imho, of course):

                  https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...onavirus-blame
                  Owen Jones really irritates me so I tend to skip over whatever he writes. My loss no doubt.

                  Comment

                  • Pulcinella
                    Host
                    • Feb 2014
                    • 11063

                    Originally posted by johnb View Post
                    Owen Jones really irritates me so I tend to skip over whatever he writes. My loss no doubt.
                    He can go on about LGBTQ issues, I suppose, but with some justification, given that he was recently assaulted.
                    I must confess to rather liking his writing/style, but I can see that it might not suit all (and probably especially those he's critical of!).

                    Comment

                    • Pianorak
                      Full Member
                      • Nov 2010
                      • 3128

                      Originally posted by johnb View Post
                      Owen Jones really irritates me so I tend to skip over whatever he writes. My loss no doubt.
                      Ditto. He's got the gift of the gab, I'll give him that.
                      My life, each morning when I dress, is four and twenty hours less. (J Richardson)

                      Comment

                      • jayne lee wilson
                        Banned
                        • Jul 2011
                        • 10711

                        "Go on about LGBTQ issues" ? You wouldn't say that if you were LGBT..... you think all those battles are over...? Think again....

                        Owen Jones is a polemical hero on political and LGBTQ issues.... agree or not, but listen to him, from whatever point in the spectrum of humanity you come...

                        ...but please don't dismiss him as "irritating"... or with condescension about "gift of the gab" ....oh, please......... all that shows is your own (probably hetero-based) prejudices, latent or otherwise....

                        I used to "go on about" LGBT issues here, with dear, remembered Amateur 51.... often we got told off or suppressed for it....

                        (...sorry Pulcinella, I see you're probably uptospeed about all this...)

                        Comment

                        • Braunschlag
                          Full Member
                          • Jul 2017
                          • 484

                          Originally posted by Pianorak View Post
                          Ditto. He's got the gift of the gab, I'll give him that.
                          I share the same view - try reading ‘The Establishment’. I made the mistake of thinking it was important. I even read it twice to make sure I wasn’t missing anything, I wish I hadn’t. Chavs is even worse.

                          Comment

                          • Simon B
                            Full Member
                            • Dec 2010
                            • 782

                            Originally posted by johnb View Post
                            ...The chart does show a very slight decline between 2th and 7th May (avg of ~3 per day) but that might well disappear with the coming daily revisions.... Should we be concerned?
                            21 days prior to 1/May? 10/Apr. Start of Easter BH weekend? 10/Apr. Typical infection->death latency seems to be about 21 days.

                            Step increase in violations of lockdown/adequate distancing/prohibition of travelling to family over Easter? Certainly saw anecdotal evidence of it here and elsewhere in the country...

                            Comment

                            • johnb
                              Full Member
                              • Mar 2007
                              • 2903

                              Originally posted by Simon B View Post
                              21 days prior to 1/May? 10/Apr. Start of Easter BH weekend? 10/Apr. Typical infection->death latency seems to be about 21 days.

                              Step increase in violations of lockdown/adequate distancing/prohibition of travelling to family over Easter? Certainly saw anecdotal evidence of it here and elsewhere in the country...
                              You are probably spot on.

                              Comment

                              • Dave2002
                                Full Member
                                • Dec 2010
                                • 18035

                                Originally posted by Pulcinella View Post
                                Owen Jones in today's Guardian as astute as ever (imho, of course):

                                https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...onavirus-blame


                                I see very little wrong with the writing, or the opinions expressed there. But then I wouldn't, would I?

                                Comment

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